Premier league, May 11 :
Birmingham - West Ham 1-0.
There are 2 very good reasons to pick Birmingham:
First the prediction of 1-0 and the HDA of 37% - 29%.
Second the Asian Handicap of ½:0 (if it does not change).
It seems like the bookies point West Ham as stronger.
We think their attacks are almost the same, but West Ham has
a little more weak defence. And because this is an away game,
it will pay out in 1 goal for Birmingham.
Maybe it's better to place a bet now, because the AH odds
could easily change from ½ to ¾ or ¼.
So we advice,
Champions league, April 23 :
Manchester United - Real Madrid 2-3.
If this score-prediction is right, it will be a dramatic
night for Manchester Utd. after a real Champions league duel.
So we advice,
Champions league, April 23 :
AC Milan - Ajax 2-2.
These teams are almost the same in strenght.
So we advice,
Euro 2004 (GROUP 3), March 29 :
Netherlands - Checho 1-0.
Our Euro 2004 machine does not give
So we advice,
Good Luck !
Premier league, March 23 :
Liverpool - Leeds 2-1.
First the score prediction of 2-1, this part is
So we advice,
Good Luck !
Premier league, March 15
Aston Villa - Manchester Utd. 0-0.
The prediction is a draw, so the machine is
Good Luck !
Champions league, March 11
Internazionale - Newcastle 1-1.
This prediction needs no explaination.
Good Luck !
Champions league, March 12
Manchester Utd. v Basle 3-1.
Most punters pick Manchester in this
Good Luck !
Asian Handicap ½:0
HDA 37% 34% 29%
Confidence: Medium
with AH of ½:0,
take Birmingham
Asian Handicap 0:½
HDA 26% 28% 46%
Confidence: High
Manchester needs to win at least by 2 goals, after losing 3-1 at
Real Madrid.
So Manchester must come, Real will counter simple but very smart and fast.
The machine has high confidence and look at the HDA !
But we, people, know the Italians do not like to do more then
strictly nessesary, and a lose by 1 goal is enough for them to
go trough.
That will not be enough for us (AH 0:½), still we think the chanches
on a draw are bigger then on a Manchester Utd. win.
with AH of 0:½,
take Real Madrid
Asian Handicap 0:¾
HDA 33% 36% 31%
Confidence: Medium
In Amsterdam their first match ended in a draw.
That means both teams have to win, or leave.
But the prediction is a draw again, and it seems
it is only the AH of 0:¾ that convinced the machine
to pick Ajax.
That is not complete true, because if we increase the
Actuality and decrease Round-off the prediction is 2-3.
This means that if the teams go on with trends of the
last weeks, Ajax is becomes stronger.
However the trends only are not enough to get a
winner (increase Actuality and see, still: 2-2).
We have to decrease Round-off too, this makes the
predictions sharper.
That's why the confidence is
just medium, but good enough for us.
with AH of 0:¾,
take Ajax
Asian Handicap 0:¾
HDA 40% 33% 27%
Confidence: High
Asian Handicap advice yet, but the
prediction is clear: Holland wins.
Increasing "Actuality" shows 2-1, and
the same for "Round off: 1-0 and 2-1.
This should be nice for Holland because
these countries played each other 5 times.
Holland won once, and Checho won once.
3 matches ended in a draw, so the total is
also a draw.
But today Holland has top goal-getters like
Van Nistelrooy and Kluivert.
And they play a home-game, thats why our
confidence is high.
with AH of 0:¾,
take Netherlands
Asian Handicap 0:1
HDA 52% 27% 21%
Confidence: Medium
builded on latest averiges and trends, and
our "smart round-off" (everybody knows
normal mathematical round-off is very random
and not good enough for predictions).
With the AH of 0:1, one could think the
chanches would be equal now.
But check the HDA: 52-21 and see the 10%
better trends of Liverpool.
This means the AH to equalize the chanches,
is: 0:1½ (we call this the Critical AH).
Of course again this is a smart-round-off
because AH jumps with ¼ ball.
with AH of 0:1,
take Liverpool
Asian Handicap ¾:0
HDA 33% 35% 32%
Confidence: Medium
forced to make additional calculations.
First we can see that Manchester is stronger,
by decreasing "Round off" : Man. Utd wins!
But the difference is too small for a whole goal.
Otherwise we see Aston Villa has 29% better
trends. By increasing "Actuality" we also see
that this 29% is not enough for an Aston goal,
the prediction is the same.
But the Asian handicap of ¾:0 is enough to
choose a winning bet.
We see the "Critical Handicap" is only 0.25 (¼).
take : ASTON VILLA.
Asian Handicap 0:½
HDA 33% 35% 32%
Confidence: Medium
A draw, with ½ ball in advance for Newcastle.
For the record, we can see that the
"Critical Handicap" = 0:¼.
You could see the CH as a neap tide, as the
handicap that makes the advice change from
Internazionale to Newcastle (in this case).
So 0:½ is more then enough.
Also we see Newcastle's better actual trend,
take : NEWCASTLE UNITED.
Asian Handicap 0:1
HDA 58% 23% 19%
Confidence: High
home-game, and it is understandable.
Basle came very high, but it seems to
be their last round.
The HDA has no merci: Manchester 58%,
and Basle 19%.
The Critical Handicap = above 2 !!!
Manchester's trend is better, and the
confidence is High,
take : MANCHESTER UNITED.
½ ¾ ¼
No problem !
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